In this webinar, Jan de Leeuw presented his project’s work in developing and using a decision-support tool to enable a municipality to quantify the risk of developing a major new groundwater source from the Merti Aquifer, in Kenya. John Chilton presented disturbing evidence from Uganda about why handpumps fail and that some of the major problems come from poor installation and supervision in the first place – thus giving communities an uphill struggle to manage their water source sustainably. In the debate afterwards, John Gowing, of the AMGRAF project, and the participants asked some searching questions.
This blog post, for the ARIGA Catalyst Project, was originally published as part of the ‘Talking Science’ and Water, Land and Ecosystems Blog .
Making better development decisions with decision analysis tools
Making decisions is difficult. Most of us spend a lot of time procrastinating about decisions in our everyday lives, struggling to weigh pros and cons and thinking through ‘what-if’ scenarios. For big decisions, like buying a car, we may do a bit of research; but most of the time, we simply follow our gut feeling as a guide. This is okay, as long as we’re right most of the time, and the potential harm from taking a bad decision is limited.